Understanding the Logistic Map and Fixed Points

Have you ever wondered how complex behaviors in nature, like population growth, can emerge from surprisingly simple rules? Enter the Logistic Map, a mathematical model that’s a cornerstone in the study of chaos theory and complex systems.

It’s defined by the recursive equation:

    \[x_{t+1} = R \, (x_t - x_t^2)\]

Here, R is the growth rate, and x_t represents the population (or system state) at a given time t. The magic of this simple equation is how it can produce a stable, predictable outcome with one set of R values, and complete chaos with others!


What is a Fixed Point?

In the context of the logistic map, a fixed point is a value that, once reached, remains constant in all subsequent iterations. It’s a point of stability where the system settles. Mathematically, a fixed point, x^*, satisfies the condition:

    \[x^* = R (x^* - {x^*}^2)\]

This means the value x^* at time t results in the exact same value at time t+1.


Finding the Fixed Point: Step-by-Step

The quiz example provides a perfect scenario to demonstrate how a system finds its stability.

The Task:
We are given R = 2.5 and an initial value x_0 = 0.2. We need to find the fixed point.

Method 1: Iterative Calculation (The Simulation Approach)

We’ll start with x_0 = 0.2 and calculate x_1, x_2, x_3, \dots until the value stops changing significantly.

Iteration (t) Calculation: x_{t+1} = 2.5(x_t - x_t^2) Result (x_{t+1})
t=0 x_1 = 2.5 \times (0.2 - 0.2^2) = 2.5 \times (0.2 - 0.04) x_1 = 0.4
t=1 x_2 = 2.5 \times (0.4 - 0.4^2) = 2.5 \times (0.4 - 0.16) x_2 = 0.6
t=2 x_3 = 2.5 \times (0.6 - 0.6^2) = 2.5 \times (0.6 - 0.36) x_3 = 0.6

Since x_2 and x_3 are the same, the system has converged! The fixed point is 0.6.

The visual from the NetLogo simulation (which models a similar logistic system) confirms this behavior: the population quickly rises from its initial state to a stable maximum.

Method 2: Analytical Calculation (The Fixed Point Formula)

To be absolutely sure, we can use the fixed point formula x^* = R (x^* - {x^*}^2) and solve for x^* using R = 2.5.

  1. Set the equation:

        \[x^* = 2.5 (x^* - {x^*}^2)\]

  2. Divide both sides by x^* (assuming x^* \ne 0):

        \[1 = 2.5 (1 - x^*)\]

  3. Divide by 2.5 (or multiply by 0.4):

        \[\frac{1}{2.5} = 1 - x^*\]

        \[0.4 = 1 - x^*\]

  4. Solve for x^* (rearrange):

        \[x^* = 1 - 0.4\]

        \[\mathbf{x^* = 0.6}\]

Both methods confirm that the system stabilizes at 0.6.


Conclusion

This simple problem beautifully illustrates how a deterministic equation—the Logistic Map—can lead to a stable, predictable outcome, a fixed point. For R=2.5 and x_0=0.2, the system quickly approaches and settles at 0.6 (Option b in the quiz).

The Logistic Map is a foundational tool in understanding how complex behaviors emerge from simple rules. If you increase the R value, you start to see fascinating phenomena like period-doubling and eventually, chaos!

 

 

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